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政經新聞及評論
202莫斯科號沉沒事件
李志光牧師
李志光牧師回憶錄
2022年6月28日
(原文發表於2012年6月25日)
 
《李志光牧師回憶錄》
 
 202莫斯科號 沉沒事件 
 
清明前後,無線電視播出內地一年前劇集「御賜小忤作」,改名「機智女法醫」,翻譯普通話對白成粵語,從36集濃縮成20集在香港速速播完。女法醫楚楚在劇中一句精彩陳述表達「一具遺體不能說話,卻能訴說生前許多隱情」令人印象深刻。2022年4月15日「機智女法醫」播出大結局,4月16日星期六國際媒體傳出俄烏戰事中俄羅斯軍艦莫斯科號在黑海沉沒。我兒子第一時間告訴我這消息時,我不禁想起二十年前到過的黑海,腦海中泛起許多思潮。
 
莫斯科號在遭遇襲擊之後航返港口途中,已經沉沒,埋於黑海海底,但沉沒了的「莫斯科號遺骸」至少能透露出以下事情:
 
 一.俄烏之戰是代理人戰爭 
 
我相信沒有人喜歡戰爭,包括美國人也不喜歡戰爭。過去二次大戰美國人也想獨善其身,只是日本人蠢到偷襲珍珠港,把美國人推到「退無可退位置」,不能不參戰。美國當時剛完成「曼哈頓計劃」,手中只有兩個原子彈,在廣島和長崎投擲原子彈過後,已無多一個原子彈可用。若日本不投降,還可負隅頑抗多一大段日子也未可知。可幸當時日本情報組織尚未知情和給力,日本皇室急忙投降,才免二戰夜長夢多。
 
美國人在二戰參戰之後,學曉了「大炮一響,黃金萬両」的學問。尤其是自古善於營商的猶太人在美國養尊處優多年之後,忘記了以往被列國壓逼而漂流萬國的苦況,心生「發戰争財」的美夢,組織「軍工複合體」控制美國政界,導至美國採取不能自拔的大國政策:「到處拱火,惹起戰事,大發戰爭財」。二戰之後,美國經歷韓戰、越戰、死傷枕藉,後來變聰明了,只發起代理人戰爭,即提供武器(簡言之只賣軍火)、儘量不提供人手打仗。今次俄烏戰争之前,美國聲明置身事外,不會介入戰鬥。但莫斯科號遇襲沉沒,分明烏克蘭得到了許多高級軍械支援及情報信息支援。
 
 二.俄羅斯順勢倒美之戰 
 
美國現任政府屬民主黨,非常不喜歡上一任共和黨特朗普政府討好俄羅斯政府的政策。俄羅斯民族自二戰之後花了幾十年時間本想融入歐洲,甚至想加入北約,但事與願違,歐洲「恐俄的心態揮之不去」。是誰令歐洲人恐懼俄羅斯「其實不言而喻」。本來歐盟在鳳毛麟角的政治家麥克爾安排底下 ,歐盟與俄羅斯可藉北溪2號天然氣管道改善關係,奈何有國家不願意歐盟與俄羅斯發展和好關係而自身可能遭排擠,故此麥克爾下台後,俄歐關係每況越下。
 
美國在1991年使蘇聯解體,已經與俄羅斯「結下不解之仇」,當年美國應允俄羅斯「北約不會東擴」的承諾,近年化作烟雲。十年前起,普京已謀劃倒美,意圖推翻美國的世界霸權。去年美國在阿富汗撤軍出了洋相,曝露出美國國勢正在走下坡,近期美國通脹升至8.5,經濟危如累卵,普京睇通時局,滿肚密圈,計算歐盟大量倚賴俄羅斯石油和天然氣,俄羅斯是自然資源大國,所輸有限,心想拜登挑撥俄烏戰争,收割歐盟,搵歐盟老襯,終將眾叛親離。普京年輕時是KGB(國家安全委員會秘密警察頭子),現在是世界最大領土國總統,索性打蛇隨棍上,順勢按拜登劇本打俄烏戰爭,讓歐盟看清楚美國真面目。
 
 三.歐盟雖不甘心仍被綁架 
 
拜登原以為「實施極限制裁」,連柴可夫斯基及大小猫猫狗狗也制裁、趕俄羅斯出Swift系統便大功告成。誰料普京出令4月1日起「非友好國家」向俄羅斯購買天然氣、石油、大宗商品得用盧布付款,立時已經大跌的盧布回復到俄烏戰前的匯價水平。反而歐盟的天然氣及石油升至天價,付費購買者叫苦連天,歐盟這次雖不甘心,仍被美國全然綁架了!
 
 四.烏克蘭成大國博奕的棋子 
 
即將滿戰鬥兩個月的俄烏戰爭,在停戰和談中取態忽軟忽硬的澤連斯基,甘心被拜登利用成為「藉口向美國國會申請援戰基金」,其實是借美國武器大量屠殺自己國民和掃蕩自己國土的「失智政客」。到這一刻,超過半個烏克蘭成為廢墟,澤連斯基還以為自己為人民做了該做的大事。其實烏克蘭在許多年前便成了大國博奕棋盤中的棋子,政客還以為可以左右逢源,至終發展成為廿一世紀人類的大悲劇!
 
 五.中國勸交角色最為恰當 
 
中國離開烏克蘭何止千里,他被某國要求出面勸阻俄羅斯放棄軍事行動。中國和要求者同時最清楚那是一個陰謀陷阱,有腦的執政者都不應誤陷其中。
 
English translation : 
 
 
"Memoirs of Pastor Li Zhiguang"
 
 The sinking of the 202 Moscow
 
 Before and after the Qingming Festival, TVB broadcasted the mainland drama series "Little Troubled Work" a year ago, renamed "Wise Female Forensic Doctor", translated the Mandarin dialogue into Cantonese, condensed from 36 episodes into 20 episodes and quickly broadcast it in Hong Kong.  The female forensic doctor Chu Chu's wonderful statement in the play that "a corpse can't speak, but can tell many hidden feelings during his lifetime" is impressive.  On April 15, 2022, the finale of "Witty Female Forensic Doctor" was broadcast. On Saturday, April 16, international media reported that the Russian warship Moskva sank in the Black Sea during the Russian-Ukrainian war.  When my son told me the news for the first time, I couldn't help thinking of the Black Sea I visited 20 years ago, and many thoughts came to my mind.
 
 On the way back to the port after the attack, the Moscow had sunk and was buried on the bottom of the Black Sea, but the sunken "Moscow remains" can at least reveal the following things:
 
 1. Russia-Ukraine war is a proxy war 
 
 I believe no one likes war, including Americans.  In the past, the Americans also wanted to stay on their own during the Second World War, but the Japanese were stupid enough to attack Pearl Harbor and pushed the Americans to a position of "no retreat" and had to join the war.  The United States had just completed the "Manhattan Project" and had only two atomic bombs in its hands. After the atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, there were no more atomic bombs available.  If Japan does not surrender, it is not known how long it will be able to resist stubbornly for a long time.  Fortunately, the Japanese intelligence organization was not yet informed and powerful at that time, and the Japanese royal family hurriedly surrendered, saving the night of World War II.
 
 After the Americans entered the war in World War II, they learned the knowledge of "the sound of a cannon is a thousand taels of gold".  Especially since ancient times, the Jews who were good at business have been pampered in the United States for many years. They have forgotten the misery of being oppressed by other countries and drifted across the world. They have a dream of "making money from war" and organized a "military-industrial complex" to control the American political circles.  The United States adopts an inextricable policy of a great power: "Everywhere to fight fires, cause wars, and make a fortune from wars".  After World War II, the United States experienced the Korean War, the Vietnam War, and the casualties. Later, it became wiser and only launched proxy wars, that is, providing weapons (in short, only selling arms), and trying not to provide manpower to fight.  Before the current Russian-Ukrainian war, the United States stated that it would stay out of the war and would not intervene in the fighting.  However, the attack and sinking of the Moskva clearly showed that Ukraine received a lot of high-level ordnance support and intelligence information support.
 
 2. Russia's war against the United States 
 
 The current U.S. government is a Democratic Party and dislikes the policies of the previous Republican Trump administration to curry favor with the Russian government.  The Russian nation has spent decades after World War II trying to integrate into Europe, and even to join NATO, but it backfired, and Europe's "Russian-phobic mentality lingers."  Who makes Europeans fear Russia "is actually self-evident".  Originally, under the arrangement of the rare politician Michael Michael, the EU and Russia could use the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline to improve their relations. However, some countries are unwilling to develop peaceful relations between the EU and Russia, and they may be excluded. Therefore, after Michael stepped down,  Russian-European relations have deteriorated.
 
 The U.S. disintegrated the Soviet Union in 1991, and has already "forged an inexorable feud" with Russia. The U.S. promise to Russia that "NATO will not expand eastward" has turned into smoke in recent years.  Since ten years ago, Putin has planned to overthrow the United States, intending to overthrow the world hegemony of the United States.  Last year, the U.S. withdrew its troops from Afghanistan, revealing that the U.S. national situation is on the decline. Recently, U.S. inflation has risen to 8.5, and the economy is in danger.  A country with large natural resources, its losses are limited, and I think that Biden will provoke the Russian-Ukrainian war, harvest the European Union, and make the old lining of the European Union, and will eventually betray everyone.  Putin was the KGB (the head of the secret police of the National Security Council) when he was young, and now he is the president of the world's largest territorial country.
 
 3. The EU is still kidnapped despite its unwillingness 
 
 Biden originally thought of "imposing extreme sanctions", even Tchaikovsky and cats and dogs, big and small, and kicking Russia out of the Swift system, and you're done.  Unexpectedly, Putin ordered that from April 1, "non-friendly countries" to buy natural gas, oil, and commodities from Russia must pay in rubles.  On the contrary, the prices of natural gas and oil in the EU have risen to sky-high prices, and the paying buyers complained a lot. Although the EU was not reconciled this time, it was still completely kidnapped by the United States!
 
 4. Ukraine becomes a pawn in the game of great power 
 
 The Russian-Ukrainian war, which is about to be fought for two months, Zelensky, who has been soft and hard in the armistice and peace talks, is willing to be used by Biden as an "excuse to apply for a war aid fund to the US Congress". In fact, he is borrowing US weapons.  A large number of "demented politicians" who slaughtered their own citizens and swept their own country.  At this moment, more than half of Ukraine is in ruins, and Zelensky still thinks that he has done a great thing for the people.  In fact, Ukraine has become a pawn in the chessboard of great powers many years ago. Politicians thought that they could have both sides and eventually developed into a great tragedy for mankind in the 21st century!
 
 5. China's role in persuading friendship is the most appropriate 
 
 China is thousands of miles away from Ukraine, and he was asked by a certain country to come forward to dissuade Russia from giving up military operations.  At the same time, China and the requester know best that it is a conspiracy trap, and no wise ruler should fall into it.
 
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